Home Prices – What Does the Future Hold Now Metro Detroit

Housing Market Forecast 2022

Future of Home Prices in Metro Detroit MI area

Will Home Prices Continue to Rise?

If you’re looking to buy or sell a house, chances are you’ve heard talk about today’s rising home prices. And while this increase in home values is great news for sellers, you may be wondering what the future holds. Will prices continue to rise with time, or should you expect them to fall?

To answer that question, let’s first understand a few terms you may be hearing right now.

• Appreciation is an increase in the value of an asset.
• Depreciation is a decrease in the value of an asset.
• Deceleration is when something happens at a slower pace.

It’s important to note home prices have increased or appreciated for 114 straight months. To find out if that trend may continue, look to the experts. Pulsenomics surveyed over 100 economists, investment strategists, and housing market analysts, asking for their five-year projections. Experts say the market may see some slight deceleration in what lies ahead, but not depreciation.

Here’s the forecast for the next few years: As the graph above shows, prices are expected to continue to rise, just not at the same pace we’ve seen over the last year. Over 100 experts agree, there is no expectation for price depreciation. As the arrows indicate, each number is an increase, which means prices will rise each year.

Bill McBride, the author of the blog Calculated Risk

also expects deceleration, but not depreciation: “My sense is the Case-Shiller National annual growth rate of 19.7% is probably close to a peak, and that year-over-year price increases will slow later this year.”

Ivy Zelman of Zelman & Associates agrees, saying:

“. . . home price appreciation is on the cusp of flipping to a decelerating trend.”

A recent article from realtor.com indicates you should expect:

“. . . annual price increases will slow to a more normal level due to increased interest rates, . . .”

What Will Cause Deceleration?

The #1 cause will be the increase in mortgage interest rates.  Buyers can spend more for a new home because it costs less due to the 50-year low-interest rates.  As the rates increase, so will their payments. This will put buyers in a different purchase price bracket and slow down how many buyers can compete on the same home based on price. Moving forward, it will be important to follow my Monthly Housing Market Trends & Predictions, so you know the market you’re in and your negotiation power.

What Does This Deceleration Mean for You?

What experts are projecting for the years ahead is more in line with the historical norm for appreciation. According to data from Black Knight, the average annual appreciation from 1995-2020 is 4.1%. As you can see from the chart above, the expert forecasts are closer to that pace, which means you should see appreciation at a level that’s aligned with a more normal year.

If you’re a buyer, don’t expect a sudden or drastic drop in home prices – experts say it won’t happen. Instead, think about your homeownership goals and consider purchasing a home before prices rise further.

If you’re a seller, the continued home price appreciation is good news for the value of your house. Work with an agent to list your house for the right price based on market conditions.